منابع مشابه
On Earthquake Prediction in Japan
Japan's National Project for Earthquake Prediction has been conducted since 1965 without success. An earthquake prediction should be a short-term prediction based on observable physical phenomena or precursors. The main reason of no success is the failure to capture precursors. Most of the financial resources and manpower of the National Project have been devoted to strengthening the seismograp...
متن کاملStudy on Techniques of Earthquake Prediction
An event called prediction in a time series is more important for geophysics and economy problems. The time series data mining is a combination field of time series and data mining techniques. The historical data are collected which has follow the time series methodology, combine the data mining for preprocessing and finally apply the fuzzy logic rules to predict the impact of earthquake. Earth...
متن کاملRethinking Earthquake Prediction
We re-examine and summarize what is now possible in predicting earthquakes, what might be accomplished (and hence might be possible in the next few decades) and what types of predictions appear to be inherently impossible based on our understanding of earthquakes as complex phenomena. We take predictions to involve a variety of time scales from seconds to a few decades. Earthquake warnings and ...
متن کاملEarthquake prediction : a political problem ?
Earthquake prediction is an area of research of great scientific and public fascination. The reason for this is not only that earthquakes can cause extremely large numbers of fatalities in a short time, but also because earthquakes can have a large social and economic impact on society. Earthquake prediction in the sense of making deterministic predictions about the place, time, and magnitude o...
متن کاملStatistical short-term earthquake prediction.
A statistical procedure, derived from a theoretical model of fracture growth, is used to identify a foreshock sequence while it is in progress. As a predictor, the procedure reduces the average uncertainty in the rate of occurrence for a future strong earthquake by a factor of more than 1000 when compared with the Poisson rate of occurrence. About one-third of all main shocks with local magnitu...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Earthquake Science
سال: 2014
ISSN: 1674-4519,1867-8777
DOI: 10.1007/s11589-014-0082-z